去年非法移民政策後的2015民調: 移民與古巴政策使歐巴馬支持率上升

Illegal Immigration 2015 Poll: Obama Approval Rises After Executive Actions, Cuba Policy

By  Howard Koplowitz @howardkoplowitz h.koplowitz@ibtimes.com on January 20 2015 11:37 AM

President Barack Obama’s actions on Cuba and immigration are helping his approval ratings reach levels not seen in 15 months, according to a Wall Street Journal/NBC News Poll released Tuesday. The poll showed broad appeal for normalizing relations with Cuba, with groups ranging from southerners to the elderly supporting the policy, while a thin majority approved of Obama’s executive actions in November to protect as many as 5 million illegal immigrants from deportation.

On Cuba, 60 percent of those polled approved of Obama’s decision, while 30 percent disapproved and 10 percent were unsure. Obama’s base of black and Hispanic voters and young people had among the highest levels of support for the policy, with roughly 65 percent support from both groups. Voters in the northeast and West highly approved of Obama’s policy, with nearly 70 percent support from each demographic. A majority of a bloc of voters not usually associated with Obama also liked the president’s action, with 53 percent of people 65 years and older, 58 percent of white voters and 51 percent of southerners giving Obama the thumbs up on Cuba.  

The results of Tuesday’s poll were nearly the reverse of an August 1978 NBC News/Associated Press poll that found 54 percent of Americans disapproved of diplomatic recognition of Cuba while 31 percent approved and 15 were unsure.

根據華爾街日報與NBC新聞週二發布的民調，歐巴馬總統對古巴與移民政策的舉措使得他的支持率達到了15個月以來未曾有過的高度。該民調顯示，包括南方民眾與年長者團體在內，民意廣泛要求與古巴關係正常化，而另一小部份民眾則認同歐巴馬去年11月提出，欲使為數五百萬的非法移民免遭驅逐出境的行政措施。

對古巴政策上，民調顯示百分之六十的民意支持歐巴馬決策，百分之三十反對，百分之十不確定。歐巴馬的非裔與西裔選民基本盤和年輕選民是該政策的主要支持者。來自前述兩團體的支持率估計有百分之六十五。東北與西部選民高度認同歐巴馬的政策，調查有將近百分之七十的支持率來自這兩個地方。一般情況下不親歐巴馬的選民也喜歡總統這次的行動，65歲以上的民眾中有百分之五十三的支持率，百分之五十八的白人選民與百分之五十一的南方民眾對歐巴馬的古巴政策表示贊同。

週二的民意調查幾乎與1978年八月NBC新聞和聯合新聞民調所獲得的結果相反。該民調中百分之五十四的美國人不同意美國對古巴的外交承認，百分之三十一認同，剩下的百分之十五則不確定。